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US CLO Arbitrage — Little Room to Breathe (Updated)

AAA tranches continue to lag the broader spread-compression trend. While top-tier BB tranches have tightened to around 430 DM, AAA levels, at 117 bps, remain wider than the 113 bps seen in February 2025. This has pushed the AAA–BB pricing differential to a new record tight of roughly 317 bps in the CLO 2.0 market.

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EU CLOs: Monitoring Idiosyncratic Risk Buckets in Collateral Pools

Tracking exposure to underlying CLO collateral priced below 80 and 70 can serve as a useful proxy for assessing tail risk within the asset pool. While this metric has inherent limitations—most notably that it does not capture stressed or distressed positions that have already been traded out of the collateral pools—it nevertheless provides a timely and standardised snapshot of downside risk embedded within CLO collateral portfolios.

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