EU CLO Issuance in 2025: Following 2024’s Record Footsteps
2025 is on course to be another record-breaking year. This article explores some of the key ingredients behind strong primary issuance.
2025 is on course to be another record-breaking year. This article explores some of the key ingredients behind strong primary issuance.
Among the top performers are Oak Hill Advisors, UBS AM, and Palmer Square Capital Management.
In year-to-date 2025 and throughout 2024, managers have, on average, broadly tracked the loan index across all three inception-to-date annualised metrics: total return, market value (MV) return, and interest return. The benchmark loan index used is the Morningstar LSTA U.S. B/BB Ratings Loan Index. Nonetheless, several managers—such as OHA, Golub Capital, and UBS AM—have continued to distinguish themselves with above-average inception-to-date alpha since 2020, while others have consistently lagged behind the index.
Late last week, approximately $240 million of long-dated AAA tranches (with reinvestment periods ending between 2029-2030) changed hands, as shown in the table below. Top-tier prints were mainly in the 150 DM area. For example, MAGNE 2024-42A A1 traded with a cover bid of 150 DM.
A more objective way to evaluate a manager’s capability is by examining the inception-to-date gross annualised collateral return of their deals, measured relative to the relevant loan indices and assessed on an unlevered basis. This provides a clearer measure of true alpha generation.
How Have EU CLO Managers Stacked Up Against the Loan Index Since Inception? This study examines the long-term performance of 218 EU CLO deals from the 2015–2019 vintages, using the Morningstar European Euro-Denominated Loan Index as the benchmark. As of 19 March 2025, EU CLO managers, on average, had outperformed the loan index on an inception-to-date basis—driven primarily by principal value return outperformance—while their interest return remained broadly in line with that of the index.
According to independent analysis by CLO Research, Generate Advisors has consistently delivered outperformance against the Morningstar LSTA U.S. B/BB Ratings Loan Index on an unlevered basis in recent years. Here’s a set of interview questions from CLO Research, accompanied by responses from Rizwan Akhter, Head of Generate Advisors.
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According to CLO Research’s independent analysis, RRAM has delivered consistently robust results from both equity and debt perspectives. Here’s a set of interview questions from CLO Research, accompanied by responses from Bhavin Patel, Chief Investment Officer of Redding Ridge Europe.
The table presented in this premium article showcases the trends by displaying the average annual prepayment rates for the first, second, and third years for each manager. These rates are calculated from seasoned deals whose reinvestment periods concluded before April 2024.
CLO equity investors generally prefer slower prepayment rates in the early years after the reinvestment period, as this helps sustain favourable leverage within the structure and supports more efficient funding costs. Moreover, it provides equity investors with additional time to assess the optimal call timing, which has proven particularly valuable in today’s robust market environment. For instance, a deal that exited its reinvestment period in 2022 and experienced a very rapid post-reinvestment period annual prepayment rate, leading to significant deleveraging, would have been under greater pressure to be called at a time when market conditions were less favourable than they are today.
Can AUM Growth and Performance Go Hand in Hand?
According to CLO Research’s independent analysis, Golub Capital has delivered consistently strong results from an investment alpha perspective. Specifically, Golub Capital has achieved substantial outperformance relative to the Morningstar LSTA U.S. B/BB Ratings Loan Index on an unlevered basis over the past several years. Below is a list of interview questions from CLO Research, along with responses from Scott M. Morrison, Managing Director and Head of Broadly Syndicated Loans.
Have you ever wondered how CLO tranche ratings—AAA, AA, A, BBB, and BB—are derived from a portfolio of non-investment grade loans?
Drawing from a sample of 87 EU CLO deals that have either been redeemed or are expected to reach full redemption shortly, equity tranches from the 2020, 2022, and 2023 vintages have delivered notable final IRRs, underpinned by robust equity NAV metrics. As illustrated in the table, their average equity NAVs surpassed 100%, underscoring strong performance.
Although every CLO deal is unique, analysing historical prepayment rates during the post-RP period is valuable. It reveals manager tendencies, distinguishing those who consistently deliver lower prepayment rates from those with higher rates.
The table below lists the top MVOC quartile managers and their annualised sale volumes.
A sample of 1,511 US BSL CLO deals (vintage 2013–2023) is included in this study. Deals with a collateral pool...
Please refer to the table below for the ten largest CLO managers and their global CLO collateral AUM, broken down by US BSL, US MM, and EU CLO AUM as of September 30, 2024.
This study examines a sample of 218 deals from the 2015 to 2019 vintages, utilising the Morningstar European Euro-Denominated Loan...
A sample of 1,546 US BSL CLO deals (vintage 2013–2023) is included in this study. Deals with a collateral pool...
A sample of 496 EU CLO deals (vintage 2013–2023) is included in this study. Deals with a collateral pool factor below 60% are excluded. Market Value Over-Collateralization (MVOC), for instance, at the BB tranche level, is calculated by dividing the collateral market value (MV) by the sum of CLO liabilities (AAA to BB). MVOC is a crucial point-in-time metric for pricing CLO-rated tranches, closely monitored by primary and secondary market participants. If you’re curious to explore our premium insights or would like a personal walkthrough of the website via Zoom, feel free to reach out at info@clopremium.co.uk.
While each CLO deal is different, understanding the historical prepayment rates based on the original collateral balance during the post-RI period for each manager remains highly beneficial. Analyzing these rates offers insights into the tendencies of different managers, highlighting those who consistently achieve lower prepayment rates and those who tend to experience higher rates in the post-reinvestment phase. To illustrate these trends, the following table presents the average first-year, second-year, and third-year annualized prepayment rates for each manager, based on data from their seasoned deals that have passed their reinvestment end dates. These historical post-RI prepayment rates could be useful as cash flow modeling inputs for each manager.
Based on 558 post-2012 US CLO deals that have been redeemed or paid off so far, those from the 2014 and 2018 vintages performed the worst. However, the sample size for the 2018 vintage deals is still relatively small. Deals from the 2020 and 2022 vintages performed the best, with median deals registering IRRs of...
The following EU CLO deals issued and priced their single-B tranches this year. These were initially structured for delayed issuance...
YTD, 70 BSL CLO deals have been reported to have undergone resets. Among these, 15 deals from the 2022–2023 vintages have reduced their cost of funding by an average of 61 bps, while also extending their reinvestment periods by about 2.7 years on average.
The table below shows the top-performing managers with the most 2013–2019 deals that are in the 90th percentile category. Notably, CSAM stood out as the most successful and consistent manager in delivering good returns to equity investors. Other successful managers include Oak Hill Advisors, KKR Financial Advisors, Goldentree Asset Management, Neuberger Berman, Generate Advisors, Fortress Investment Group, and Anchorage Capital Group.
At first glance, one might assume that managers with higher portfolio spreads tend to perform well during favorable market conditions but struggle during downturns. However, upon closer analysis of the average alpha performance within each category, this assumption is only partially valid and not universally applicable.
A sample of 313 seasoned deals (2016–2019 vintage deals) managed by 57 US CLO managers is included in this study. The benchmark loan index used is the Morningstar LSTA US B-BB Ratings Loan Index.
This study includes a sample of 93 more recent deals (closed in 2021 and Jan 2022) managed by 46 managers, using the Morningstar European B Ratings Loan Index as the benchmark loan index. The table below illustrates the relative standing of each EU CLO manager based on their latest average total alpha metrics (as of 26th June 2023) . A score of 98%, for instance, indicates that the manager’s total return alpha is at the 98th percentile, meaning their total return alpha metric exceeds that of 98% of their peers.
Overweight indicates that the manager’s average industry exposure exceeds the sample average exposure by 1 percentage point. Conversely, underweight means the manager’s average industry exposure is less than the industry average exposure by 1 percentage point.
Discover the main disparities between the seasoned US BSL and EU CLO equity tranches in relation to annual distributions and final equity net asset value (NAV) realisation values necessary to achieve a 12.0% internal rate of return (IRR) target. Explore the reasons why median EU CLO equity tranches have shown higher annual distributions compared to their US equivalents.
Securitisation can certainly play a crucial role in facilitating the mobilisation of institutional capital into infrastructure financing, especially for sustainable infrastructure and clean energy projects. Additionally, it can help banks recycle their balance sheets into originating new loans to finance such infrastructure initiatives.
In the CLO market, the terms "CLO performance" or "resilience" can have varying definitions. It is essential to note that...
This study expands its analysis to include a sample of 90 more recent deals (closed in 2021) managed by 46...
The final IRR of a 2.0 CLO equity tranche very much depends on the final equity NAV realisation. There are 20 US CLO managers with at least one deal registering an IRR of over 15%.
A sample of 197 deals (2015–2019 vintage deals) managed by 38 managers is included in this study. The benchmark loan index used is the Morningstar European Euro Denominated Loan Index.
The top five US CLO managers for each WARF category are typically larger managers with a CLO AUM of $8 billion or more.
At CLO Research, we provide genuinely independent first-hand CLO research content that is highly relevant to the investing community. We can save you precious time and resources in assessing CLO managers through manager scoring based on relative return performance rather than deal metrics.
A sample of 198 deals (2015–2019 vintage deals) managed by 39 managers is included in this study. The benchmark loan...
This article details the track record of redeemed static deals.
Which redeemed deals delivered an equity IRR of over 12.0%? 2020 vintage deals delivered extraordinary IRRs. 2012 vintage deals did well...
This article endeavours to highlight some of the key drivers of 1.0 US CLO equity tranches' outperformance.
This research report is now available to bloomberg terminal users.
This webinar was jointly hosted by Sheil Aggarwal, Head of SCI Valuations, and Poh-Heng Tan, Founder of CLO Research in...
A sample of 1,714 US BSL CLO deals (vintage 2013–1H 2025) is included in this study. Deals with a collateral pool factor below 55% are excluded.
Below are tables presenting the MVOC (AAA-B) and EQ NAV of US BSL CLO deals by vintage, based on asset prices as of February 12, 2026.
Looking at discounted BSL CLO BB tranches traded via BWICs since 8 January 2026, the tables below summarise DM cover levels, grouped by manager tiering and MVOC, for deals with reinvestment periods ending in 2029/30 and 2026/27.
Please see below a selection of articles highlighting manager-level exposure to some of the more challenging credits.
US CLOs’ aggregate exposure to the Central Parent (ADP/CDK Global) term loan stands at approximately USD 2.4 billion, ranking it as the 51st largest underlying exposure across the US CLO universe. As of 12 February 2026, across 1,250 US CLO deals managed by 76 managers, the average deal-level exposure stands at approximately 36 bps.
For an emerging manager, this represents a notable and rapid move toward top-tier status — at least across the AA/BBB/BB tranches — within a relatively short period of time. The progression likely reflects consistently clean portfolios characterized by very low WARF and tight WAS levels. The manager’s strategy of maintaining very clean portfolios, which has proven effective, could serve as a useful case study for other emerging CLO managers seeking to achieve competitive liability prints within a relatively short timeframe.
Managers may achieve a tight BB print where the new issue portfolio carries a tight WAS and is viewed as clean. More broadly, new issue BB tranche pricing can serve as a useful barometer of a manager’s debt performance, particularly when assessed against MVOC metrics.
The findings outlined in this article suggest that risks within the software sector remain largely idiosyncratic, rather than reflective of broad-based performance trends in the EU CLO market.
A sample of 580 EU CLO deals (vintage 2013–1H 2025) is included in this study. Deals with a collateral pool factor below 60% are excluded. Market Value Over-Collateralization (MVOC), for instance, at the BB tranche level, is calculated by dividing the collateral market value (MV) by the sum of CLO liabilities (AAA to BB). MVOC is a key point-in-time metric for valuing CLO-rated tranches, widely tracked by participants in both primary and secondary markets.
Below are tables presenting the MVOC (AAA-B) and EQ NAV of EU CLO deals by vintage, based on asset prices as of 9 February 2026.
As of 9 February 2026, the arbitrage metric for non-short-dated US CLOs has improved, reflecting a widening four-week moving-average loan discounted spread alongside tight liability prints. At approximately 173 bps, this has returned to levels last seen in early July 2025.
A sample of 1,719 US BSL CLO deals (vintage 2013–1H 2025) is included in this study. Deals with a collateral pool factor below 55% are excluded. On an MVOC basis, US BSL CLO managers including Allstate, CVC Credit, Oak Hill Advisors, L.P., TP Birch Grove, and Onex Credit rank favourably among managers with a minimum of 11 deals in the sample, indicating comparatively strong performance in the current market.
The analysis covers 1,719 US BSL CLO deals across vintages from 2012 to 1H 2025, excluding deals with a collateral pool factor below 55%. Based on asset prices as at 5 February 2026, the overall median below-80 exposure stood at 4.7%, which is elevated from a CLO equity perspective. Such exposures are typically penalised in cashflow modelling, weighing on CLO equity valuations.
Below are tables presenting the MVOC (AAA-B) and EQ NAV of US BSL CLO deals by vintage, based on asset prices as of February 5, 2026.
US CLOs’ aggregate exposure to the Skopima Consilio Parent LLC term loan is approximately USD 1.365 billion, placing it among the top 200 holdings across all US CLOs. As of 5 February 2026, 799 US CLO deals, managed by 55 managers, reported an average deal-level exposure of around 47 bps.