CLO Research

Freemium

Weekly Musings: AAA Stays Wide, Highlight Reset of the Week

Both primary US BSL and EU CLO AAA tranches are currently pricing wide relative to year-to-date averages, which negatively affects new issue equity arbitrage. That said, the market is likely to self-correct over time, and as long as loan market conditions remain strong, there is no reason AAA spreads should not tighten further.

EU Module

Avoca CLO XX Reset

The reset, priced on 20 June 2025, raised the WACC from 185 bps to 205 bps but extended the reinvestment period by 4.5 years and increased leverage through an additional €28 million in liabilities, including a small Class X tranche.

EU Module

EU CLO Equity IRRs by Vintage and Manager, Based on Redeemed Deals (Updated)

Among 123 EU CLO deals that have been or are likely to be fully redeemed, equity tranches from the 2020, 2022, and 2023 vintages stood out with strong final IRRs and average equity NAVs above 100%, as shown in the table above. 11 of the deals were static, with an average IRR of 30.9%. Seven of these were managed by Palmer Square. Static deals can do well in volatile markets by capturing the pull to par of the loan portfolio. If the market stays weak, slower prepayments help preserve leverage—supporting stronger annual distributions. On average, EU CLO managers have met equity investor expectations, with redeemed or soon-to-be-redeemed deals delivering an average equity IRR of 12.3%. This reflects a mix of disciplined issuance, timely resets (notably for 2014–2016 vintages), resilient loan performance, manager expertise, and low liability costs.

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