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Monitor: EU CLO New Issue Arbitrage Trend

Loan spreads have returned to levels last seen in mid-March, as shown in the final column. AAA spreads remain wide, with the four-week average loan spread still elevated at 446 bps as of 30 May. That said, the four-week average is expected to fall below 440 bps by 6 June, even if loan spreads remain broadly unchanged over the coming week. If historical patterns are a reliable guide, AAA spreads are likely to tighten to levels seen in early April in the near future.

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