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CLO Research provides independent research and insights on CLOs, offering investors and managers fresh, unbiased perspectives and data to support their decision-making.

CLO Market Musings 14: Industry Breakdown and Moody’s One-Year Default Rate Forecasts

According to Moody’s, it is anticipated that four industries will experience a default rate exceeding 4.0% within the next year. Notably, EU CLOs have a fair amount of exposure to only one out of these four industries, as illustrated in the table. Furthermore, Moody’s projects that only one industry – retail – will witness a default rate surpassing 5.0% over the course of one year. EU CLOs have limited exposure to this industry.

CLO Market Musings 12 – Implied Annual Default Rates

It is worth noting that CLO deals rarely reach maturity, leading to higher annual collateral par loss rates due to mark-to-market (MTM) losses. This, in turn, results in implied default rates that exceed reported defaults, factoring in trading losses and defaults.

CLO Market Musings 11

Resetting a CLO deal involves extending the deal's reinvestment period, unlike a standard refinancing. While there are several costs associated...

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