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Monitor: EU CLO New Issue Arbitrage Trend

Loan spreads have returned to levels last seen in mid-March, as shown in the final column. AAA spreads remain wide, with the four-week average loan spread still elevated at 446 bps as of 30 May. That said, the four-week average is expected to fall below 440 bps by 6 June, even if loan spreads remain broadly unchanged over the coming week. If historical patterns are a reliable guide, AAA spreads are likely to tighten to levels seen in early April in the near future.

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BWIC Highlights: Majority CLO Equity Traded

Last week’s BWIC lists included four majority equity trades according to SCI BWIC data, with cover bids ranging from the single digits to the high 40s. These levels implied an average equity IRR of around 6.6% for primary investors, assuming an issue price of $95. The trades comprised two 2017 vintage deals, one from 2018, and one from 2022.

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Seasoned US BSL CLO Managers: Inception-to-date Alpha Trends

In year-to-date 2025 and throughout 2024, managers have, on average, broadly tracked the loan index across all three inception-to-date annualised metrics: total return, market value (MV) return, and interest return. The benchmark loan index used is the Morningstar LSTA U.S. B/BB Ratings Loan Index. Nonetheless, several managers—such as OHA, Golub Capital, and UBS AM—have continued to distinguish themselves with above-average inception-to-date alpha since 2020, while others have consistently lagged behind the index.

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