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Tranche Beta in Focus as Primary US CLO Spreads React to Underlying Loan Moves

Weakness in the loan market has led to a broad-based widening of discount margins across the U.S. CLO capital structure. Lower mezzanine tranches have shown the greatest sensitivity to spread movements, reflecting their structurally leveraged exposure to underlying credit risk. In contrast, senior tranches (AAA/AA) and the single-A tranche exhibit a beta of less than 1.0 to loan market movements, indicating more moderate spread volatility in response to changes in collateral spreads.

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Tranche Beta in Focus as Primary EU CLO Spreads React to Underlying Loan Moves

As anticipated, weakness in the loan market results in a broad-based widening of discount margins across the CLO capital structure, with lower mezzanine tranches exhibiting the highest spread sensitivity — reflecting their structurally leveraged exposure to underlying credit risk. By contrast, senior tranches (AAA/AA) typically display a beta of less than 1.0 to loan market movements, indicating more muted spread volatility in response to changes in collateral spreads.

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CLO MVOC and CLO Equity NAV Across All Tranches and Vintages

Notably, EU CLO equity NAV metrics surpass those of their US BSL CLO counterparts across all vintages except for 2022 and 2023 deals, despite the latter having considerably more diversified underlying portfolios. In particular, the equity NAV metrics of EU CLOs from the 2013–2014 and 2018 vintages are markedly higher than those of their US counterparts.

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US BSL CLOs: Post-RP Deal-by-Deal Prepayment Rates (RPs Concluded in 2023)

This article focuses on US BSL CLO deals that exited their reinvestment period (RP) in 2023, based on a sample of 386 deals. As shown in the table below, the median annualised prepayment rate was 20% in year 1, with a wide range—from 12% to 27%—based on the 25th and 75th percentiles. In year 2, the median annualised prepayment rate rose to 34%, while the interquartile range narrowed compared to year 1.

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Live EU CLO Deals Already Achieving IRR Incentive Levels

The table below lists the outstanding EU CLO deals that have already met their IRR incentive fee thresholds of 12%, supported by robust equity distributions. As expected, most of these deals were issued in 2016 or earlier, and all but one were reset—effectively extending the life of the deal and enabling equity distributions sufficient to meet the IRR thresholds. Collectively, the total incentive fees distributed to date amount to approximately EUR 24 million.

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EU CLO Managers: Rankings Based on MVOC (BB)

Notably, Redding Ridge achieved an impressive feat by pricing three resets on the same day—Friday, 21 March 2025. The last time a manager accomplished something similar was Intermediate Capital Group (ICG), with three reissues in mid-2018, and Alcentra, with three refinancings in early 2021.

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