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EU CLOs: Annualised Prepayment Rates During Post-RP by Manager

CLO equity investors generally prefer slower prepayment rates in the early years after the reinvestment period, as this helps sustain favourable leverage within the structure and supports more efficient funding costs. Moreover, it provides equity investors with additional time to assess the optimal call timing, which has proven particularly valuable in today’s robust market environment. For instance, a deal that exited its reinvestment period in 2022 and experienced a very rapid post-reinvestment period annual prepayment rate, leading to significant deleveraging, would have been under greater pressure to be called at a time when market conditions were less favourable than they are today.

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Insights from Golub Capital: Track Record, Performance, and Strategic Risk Management

According to CLO Research’s independent analysis, Golub Capital has delivered consistently strong results from an investment alpha perspective. Specifically, Golub Capital has achieved substantial outperformance relative to the Morningstar LSTA U.S. B/BB Ratings Loan Index on an unlevered basis over the past several years. Below is a list of interview questions from CLO Research, along with responses from Scott M. Morrison, Managing Director and Head of Broadly Syndicated Loans.

Basic Premium

EU CLO Managers: Rankings Based on MVOC (BB)

A sample of 496 EU CLO deals (vintage 2013–2023) is included in this study. Deals with a collateral pool factor below 60% are excluded. Market Value Over-Collateralization (MVOC), for instance, at the BB tranche level, is calculated by dividing the collateral market value (MV) by the sum of CLO liabilities (AAA to BB). MVOC is a crucial point-in-time metric for pricing CLO-rated tranches, closely monitored by primary and secondary market participants. If you’re curious to explore our premium insights or would like a personal walkthrough of the website via Zoom, feel free to reach out at info@clopremium.co.uk.

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US CLO Managers: Varying Prepayment Rates in the Post-Reinvestment Period

While each CLO deal is different, understanding the historical prepayment rates based on the original collateral balance during the post-RI period for each manager remains highly beneficial. Analyzing these rates offers insights into the tendencies of different managers, highlighting those who consistently achieve lower prepayment rates and those who tend to experience higher rates in the post-reinvestment phase. To illustrate these trends, the following table presents the average first-year, second-year, and third-year annualized prepayment rates for each manager, based on data from their seasoned deals that have passed their reinvestment end dates. These historical post-RI prepayment rates could be useful as cash flow modeling inputs for each manager.

Post-2012 US CLO Equity IRRs Categorised by Vintage

Based on 558 post-2012 US CLO deals that have been redeemed or paid off so far, those from the 2014 and 2018 vintages performed the worst. However, the sample size for the 2018 vintage deals is still relatively small. Deals from the 2020 and 2022 vintages performed the best, with median deals registering IRRs of...

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A Year-to-Date Review of US BSL CLO Resets

YTD, 70 BSL CLO deals have been reported to have undergone resets. Among these, 15 deals from the 2022–2023 vintages have reduced their cost of funding by an average of 61 bps, while also extending their reinvestment periods by about 2.7 years on average. 

Top-Performing US CLO Managers: Equity Cumulative Distributions and NAV (Updated)

The table below shows the top-performing managers with the most 2013–2019 deals that are in the 90th percentile category. Notably, CSAM stood out as the most successful and consistent manager in delivering good returns to equity investors. Other successful managers include Oak Hill Advisors, KKR Financial Advisors, Goldentree Asset Management, Neuberger Berman, Generate Advisors, Fortress Investment Group, and Anchorage Capital Group.

Scoring EU CLO Managers Based on 2021 Vintage Deal Performance

This study includes a sample of 93 more recent deals (closed in 2021 and Jan 2022) managed by 46 managers, using the Morningstar European B Ratings Loan Index as the benchmark loan index. The table below illustrates the relative standing of each EU CLO manager based on their latest average total alpha metrics (as of 26th June 2023) . A score of 98%, for instance, indicates that the manager’s total return alpha is at the 98th percentile, meaning their total return alpha metric exceeds that of 98% of their peers.

Comparing the Performance of Seasoned US BSL and EU CLO Equity Tranches

Discover the main disparities between the seasoned US BSL and EU CLO equity tranches in relation to annual distributions and final equity net asset value (NAV) realisation values necessary to achieve a 12.0% internal rate of return (IRR) target. Explore the reasons why median EU CLO equity tranches have shown higher annual distributions compared to their US equivalents.

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Infrastructure Asset-Backed Securities: Outperformance in a Tumultuous Year

Securitisation can certainly play a crucial role in facilitating the mobilisation of institutional capital into infrastructure financing, especially for sustainable infrastructure and clean energy projects. Additionally, it can help banks recycle their balance sheets into originating new loans to finance such infrastructure initiatives. 

EU Module (Historical Performance and Style)

Post-2013 EU CLO Equity IRRs by Vintage (Updated)

Overall, based on 97 deals that have already been redeemed or are anticipated to be redeemed, EU CLOs have delivered good performance, with an average equity IRR of 12.5%. This success can be attributed to a combination of factors, including disciplined issuance spurred by risk retention requirements, resets of more seasoned deals such as those from 2014 and 2015, the resilience of the underlying loan performance, the expertise of the managers, favourable CLO liability costs, and attractively priced assets, among others.

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EU CLO Managers: Trends and Growth in Collateral AUM with Breakdown by RP (Updated)

Please refer to the table below for a complete list of 70 EU CLO managers and their EU CLO collateral AUM trends since 31 December 2017. As of 31 December 2024, the total EU CLO AUM stands at approximately EUR 245 billion, reflecting a CAGR of about 20% over this period. The second table provides a breakdown of each manager’s AUM, organized by reinvestment period (RP) as of 31 December 2024. The third table highlights the ten fastest-growing managers by notional AUM annually since December 2017. The fourth table shows the average annual AUM growth in notional terms for each manager since the closing of their first deal.