Key Ingredients for Long-Term CLO Equity Outperformance
A successful long-term CLO equity investment hinges on three critical pillars: strong annual distributions, healthy equity NAVs, and a longer-than-average deal life.
A successful long-term CLO equity investment hinges on three critical pillars: strong annual distributions, healthy equity NAVs, and a longer-than-average deal life.
According to independent analysis by CLO Research, Generate Advisors has consistently delivered outperformance against the Morningstar LSTA U.S. B/BB Ratings Loan Index on an unlevered basis in recent years. Here’s a set of interview questions from CLO Research, accompanied by responses from Rizwan Akhter, Head of Generate Advisors.
Our website attracts a steady stream of visitors each month, ensuring your job postings receive significant visibility among a relevant audience. Increase your chances of finding the ideal candidate by listing your opportunities on CLOPremium—completely free of charge.
According to CLO Research’s independent analysis, RRAM has delivered consistently robust results from both equity and debt perspectives. Here’s a set of interview questions from CLO Research, accompanied by responses from Bhavin Patel, Chief Investment Officer of Redding Ridge Europe.
CLO equity investors generally prefer slower prepayment rates in the early years after the reinvestment period, as this helps sustain favourable leverage within the structure and supports more efficient funding costs. Moreover, it provides equity investors with additional time to assess the optimal call timing, which has proven particularly valuable in today’s robust market environment. For instance, a deal that exited its reinvestment period in 2022 and experienced a very rapid post-reinvestment period annual prepayment rate, leading to significant deleveraging, would have been under greater pressure to be called at a time when market conditions were less favourable than they are today.
Can AUM Growth and Performance Go Hand in Hand?
This analysis reviews a sample of 1,467 US BSL CLO deals from the 2012 to 2022 vintages, encompassing both deals still within their reinvestment period (RP) and those that have exited it.
According to CLO Research’s independent analysis, Golub Capital has delivered consistently strong results from an investment alpha perspective. Specifically, Golub Capital has achieved substantial outperformance relative to the Morningstar LSTA U.S. B/BB Ratings Loan Index on an unlevered basis over the past several years. Below is a list of interview questions from CLO Research, along with responses from Scott M. Morrison, Managing Director and Head of Broadly Syndicated Loans.
Have you ever wondered how CLO tranche ratings—AAA, AA, A, BBB, and BB—are derived from a portfolio of non-investment grade loans?
Drawing from a sample of 87 EU CLO deals that have either been redeemed or are expected to reach full redemption shortly, equity tranches from the 2020, 2022, and 2023 vintages have delivered notable final IRRs, underpinned by robust equity NAV metrics. As illustrated in the table, their average equity NAVs surpassed 100%, underscoring strong performance.
Although every CLO deal is unique, analysing historical prepayment rates during the post-RP period is valuable. It reveals manager tendencies, distinguishing those who consistently deliver lower prepayment rates from those with higher rates.
The table below lists the top MVOC quartile managers and their annualised sale volumes.
A sample of 1,511 US BSL CLO deals (vintage 2013–2023) is included in this study. Deals with a collateral pool...
Please refer to the table below for the ten largest CLO managers and their global CLO collateral AUM, broken down by US BSL, US MM, and EU CLO AUM as of September 30, 2024.
This study examines a sample of 218 deals from the 2015 to 2019 vintages, utilising the Morningstar European Euro-Denominated Loan...
A sample of 1,546 US BSL CLO deals (vintage 2013–2023) is included in this study. Deals with a collateral pool...
A sample of 496 EU CLO deals (vintage 2013–2023) is included in this study. Deals with a collateral pool factor below 60% are excluded. Market Value Over-Collateralization (MVOC), for instance, at the BB tranche level, is calculated by dividing the collateral market value (MV) by the sum of CLO liabilities (AAA to BB). MVOC is a crucial point-in-time metric for pricing CLO-rated tranches, closely monitored by primary and secondary market participants. If you’re curious to explore our premium insights or would like a personal walkthrough of the website via Zoom, feel free to reach out at info@clopremium.co.uk.
While each CLO deal is different, understanding the historical prepayment rates based on the original collateral balance during the post-RI period for each manager remains highly beneficial. Analyzing these rates offers insights into the tendencies of different managers, highlighting those who consistently achieve lower prepayment rates and those who tend to experience higher rates in the post-reinvestment phase. To illustrate these trends, the following table presents the average first-year, second-year, and third-year annualized prepayment rates for each manager, based on data from their seasoned deals that have passed their reinvestment end dates. These historical post-RI prepayment rates could be useful as cash flow modeling inputs for each manager.
Based on 558 post-2012 US CLO deals that have been redeemed or paid off so far, those from the 2014 and 2018 vintages performed the worst. However, the sample size for the 2018 vintage deals is still relatively small. Deals from the 2020 and 2022 vintages performed the best, with median deals registering IRRs of...
The following EU CLO deals issued and priced their single-B tranches this year. These were initially structured for delayed issuance...
YTD, 70 BSL CLO deals have been reported to have undergone resets. Among these, 15 deals from the 2022–2023 vintages have reduced their cost of funding by an average of 61 bps, while also extending their reinvestment periods by about 2.7 years on average.
The table below shows the top-performing managers with the most 2013–2019 deals that are in the 90th percentile category. Notably, CSAM stood out as the most successful and consistent manager in delivering good returns to equity investors. Other successful managers include Oak Hill Advisors, KKR Financial Advisors, Goldentree Asset Management, Neuberger Berman, Generate Advisors, Fortress Investment Group, and Anchorage Capital Group.
At first glance, one might assume that managers with higher portfolio spreads tend to perform well during favorable market conditions but struggle during downturns. However, upon closer analysis of the average alpha performance within each category, this assumption is only partially valid and not universally applicable.
A sample of 313 seasoned deals (2016–2019 vintage deals) managed by 57 US CLO managers is included in this study. The benchmark loan index used is the Morningstar LSTA US B-BB Ratings Loan Index.
This study includes a sample of 93 more recent deals (closed in 2021 and Jan 2022) managed by 46 managers, using the Morningstar European B Ratings Loan Index as the benchmark loan index. The table below illustrates the relative standing of each EU CLO manager based on their latest average total alpha metrics (as of 26th June 2023) . A score of 98%, for instance, indicates that the manager’s total return alpha is at the 98th percentile, meaning their total return alpha metric exceeds that of 98% of their peers.
Overweight indicates that the manager’s average industry exposure exceeds the sample average exposure by 1 percentage point. Conversely, underweight means the manager’s average industry exposure is less than the industry average exposure by 1 percentage point.
Discover the main disparities between the seasoned US BSL and EU CLO equity tranches in relation to annual distributions and final equity net asset value (NAV) realisation values necessary to achieve a 12.0% internal rate of return (IRR) target. Explore the reasons why median EU CLO equity tranches have shown higher annual distributions compared to their US equivalents.
Securitisation can certainly play a crucial role in facilitating the mobilisation of institutional capital into infrastructure financing, especially for sustainable infrastructure and clean energy projects. Additionally, it can help banks recycle their balance sheets into originating new loans to finance such infrastructure initiatives.
In the CLO market, the terms "CLO performance" or "resilience" can have varying definitions. It is essential to note that...
This study expands its analysis to include a sample of 90 more recent deals (closed in 2021) managed by 46...
The final IRR of a 2.0 CLO equity tranche very much depends on the final equity NAV realisation. There are 20 US CLO managers with at least one deal registering an IRR of over 15%.
A sample of 197 deals (2015–2019 vintage deals) managed by 38 managers is included in this study. The benchmark loan index used is the Morningstar European Euro Denominated Loan Index.
The top five US CLO managers for each WARF category are typically larger managers with a CLO AUM of $8 billion or more.
At CLO Research, we provide genuinely independent first-hand CLO research content that is highly relevant to the investing community. We can save you precious time and resources in assessing CLO managers through manager scoring based on relative return performance rather than deal metrics.
A sample of 198 deals (2015–2019 vintage deals) managed by 39 managers is included in this study. The benchmark loan...
This article details the track record of redeemed static deals.
Which redeemed deals delivered an equity IRR of over 12.0%? 2020 vintage deals delivered extraordinary IRRs. 2012 vintage deals did well...
This article endeavours to highlight some of the key drivers of 1.0 US CLO equity tranches' outperformance.
This research report is now available to bloomberg terminal users.
This webinar was jointly hosted by Sheil Aggarwal, Head of SCI Valuations, and Poh-Heng Tan, Founder of CLO Research in...
This study includes a sample of 439 seasoned deals that have concluded their reinvestment periods.
Cairn CLO X equity recently traded with a released cover price of EUR 46.3, equating to a primary equity IRR of 13.7%. Its strong performance was largely driven by a solid annual distribution of over 18% sustained over more than six years.
Here are the top 7 countries with the highest user activity over the past month.
Some of the successful and consistent managers include CSAM, KKR, and CVC.
Based on a sample of 116 EU CLO deals that have either already been redeemed or are expected to be fully redeemed soon, equity tranches from the 2020, 2022, and 2023 vintages delivered particularly strong returns. These deals stood out with impressive final IRRs, supported by healthy equity NAVs at exit. The final table in this article presents each manager’s average IRR, annual distribution, and equity NAV across their redeemed deals, along with the percentage of those deals that ranked in the top quartile for equity IRR performance. Of the 41 managers in the sample, 23 achieved an average equity IRR of 10% or higher on their redeemed CLOs.
To calculate the total/MV/interest return alpha, we begin by determining the total/MV/interest investment return for each complete period, such as from a deal’s closing date to the most recent reporting date. This is achieved by compounding the portfolio’s monthly (or periodic) total/MV/interest return since the closing date. We then annualise the total/MV/interest portfolio return and compare it with the annualised return of the index. The difference represents the total/MV/interest return alpha, as illustrated here.
Despite this setback, CSAM made a strong recovery and, since August 2021, has outperformed its peers thanks to above-average metrics for MV and interest return alpha as shown in the second and third graphs.
To calculate the total/MV/interest return alpha, we commence by ascertaining the total/MV/interest investment return for each entire period, such as from a deal’s closing date to the last reporting date. This is accomplished by compounding the portfolio’s monthly (or periodic) total/MV/interest return since the closing date. Subsequently, we annualise the total/MV/interest portfolio return and compare it to the annualised return of the index. The disparity represents the total/MV/interest return alpha depicted here.
This study examines a sample of 218 deals from 2015 to 2019, utilising the Morningstar European Euro-Denominated Loan Index as...
This study examines a sample of 218 deals from 2015 to 2019, utilising the Morningstar European Euro-Denominated Loan Index as...
This study examines a sample of 218 deals from 2015 to 2019, utilising the Morningstar European Euro-Denominated Loan Index as...
This study examines a sample of 218 deals from 2015 to 2019, utilising the Morningstar European Euro-Denominated Loan Index as the benchmark loan index.
It appears that there is a clear shift in style. Spire recorded above-average interest alpha until September 2020 and below-average interest alpha since then.
The manager displayed resilient MV alpha performance in the time following the loan market crash of late March 2020.