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CLO Market Musings 12 – Implied Annual Default Rates

It is worth noting that CLO deals rarely reach maturity, leading to higher annual collateral par loss rates due to mark-to-market (MTM) losses. This, in turn, results in implied default rates that exceed reported defaults, factoring in trading losses and defaults.

CLO Market Musings 11

Resetting a CLO deal involves extending the deal's reinvestment period, unlike a standard refinancing. While there are several costs associated...

CLO Market Musings 5 – Equity Final NAV

Previous articles in this series, titled "CLO Market Musings," talked about the significance of the eventual equity NAV realisation for a regular arbitrage CLO deal (with a longer WAL) with the goal of delivering at least a double-digit IRR for CLO equity investors. The accompanying table, based on 291 fully realized US CLO deals, demonstrates that a final equity NAV greater than 50% on average is needed to achieve a double-digit IRR for CLO equity tranches. It goes without saying that annual distributions have to be at a level that is at least somewhat satisfactory.

CLO Market Musings 4 – Mezz vs Equity Distributions

The European leveraged loan market has returned to levels last seen in early June 2022. Primary EU CLOs were priced at around 140/240/385/570/875/1150 bps (from the triple-A to single-B notes) at that time. The last EU CLO new issue was priced at 165/300/400/600/850/not offered. If the loan market rally can be sustained and other technical factors are favourable, it would not be surprising to see lags in CLO pricing resolved.

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