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How do CLO managers perform from a debt investor’s perspective?
What does the latest arbitrage landscape look like? Which managers consistently show higher post-RP prepayment rates? If you’re curious to explore our premium insights or would like a personal walkthrough of the website via Zoom, feel free to reach out at info@clopremium.co.uk. Please note, due to the proprietary nature of our research, we do not offer free trials.

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Monitor: US BSL CLO New Issue Arbitrage Trend Since 2017 (Updated)

The loan index’s moving 4-week average discounted spreads are used as a proxy for the discounted spreads of US BSL CLO portfolios. If the index prices fell below 96, 4-year discounted asset spreads were used instead of spreads to maturity. Arbitrage refers to the index’s discounted spread net of the cost of funding, based on discount margins (of AAA–BB tranches of top-tier deals) rather than spreads. New issue upfront costs and management fees are not accounted for. The loan index used for this analysis is the Morningstar LSTA US B-BB Ratings Loan Index.

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Strong Loan Markets and Rising Demand: A Record Year for US CLOs in 2024

As illustrated in the table below, it is unsurprising that when the underlying loan market was strong, more CLO deals were liquidated, institutional loan issuance increased—providing additional collateral assets for CLO creation—and demand for CLOs grew as investors became more optimistic about the credit outlook. Combined with a higher interest rate environment and greater demand for floating-rate assets, these factors contributed to a record-breaking year for new issue CLO volume in 2024.

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Monitor: EU CLO New Issue Arbitrage Trend

The loan index’s moving 4-week average discounted spreads are used as a proxy for the EU CLO portfolios’ discounted spreads. Arbitrage refers to the index’s discounted spread net of the cost of funding, based on discount margins (of AAA–B tranches) rather than spreads. Upfront costs and management fees are not accounted for. The loan index used for this analysis is the Morningstar Euro-denominated Leveraged Loan Index.

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US BSL CLOs: Weekly Arbitrage Metrics and AAA Spreads

Asset spreads play a significant role in influencing AAA issuance spreads, though the relationship is not always perfectly linear due to factors such as the demand and supply of AAA notes. This article notes that current top-tier AAA levels, at approximately 124–126 bps, are elevated compared to historical norms.

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Resets: Successful Seasoned US BSL CLO Managers

Since the reset window reopened in mid-2023, managers have actively utilised the reset market to extend the duration of their existing deals. Impressively, seven managers successfully reset at least 10 of their seasoned deals spanning the 2013–2021 vintages. Among them, Oak Hill and CIFC stand out, having reset 15–16 of their seasoned deals during this period.

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EU CLO Managers: Rankings Based on MVOC (BB)

Market Value Over-Collateralization (MVOC), for instance, at the BB tranche level, is calculated by dividing the collateral market value (MV) by the sum of CLO liabilities (AAA to BB). MVOC is a key point-in-time metric for valuing CLO-rated tranches, widely tracked by participants in both primary and secondary markets.

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US BSL CLO Managers: Rankings Based on MVOC (BB)

Market Value Over-Collateralization (MVOC), for instance, at the BB tranche level, is calculated by dividing the collateral market value (MV) by the sum of CLO liabilities (AAA to BB). MVOC is a crucial point-in-time metric for pricing CLO-rated tranches, closely monitored by primary and secondary market participants.

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