CLO Research

Basic Premium

US BSL CLOs: Latest OC (BB) Test Cushions by Vintage

Excess CCC buckets, defaults, discount obligations, and losses from trading can all reduce the OC ratio. Typically, OC test cushions decrease over time as deals mature. The tables above display the OC (BB) test cushions, segmented by vintage year, based on Intex runs from January 22, 2024, and previously from November 17, 2023.

Freemium

League Table: EU CLO Manager AUM (as of 31 December 2023)

Please refer to the table below for a list of EU CLO managers and their assets under management (in billions). In addition, the table indicates the number of years since each manager last priced a primary deal, as of 31 December 2023. Twenty-three managers have not issued a primary deal in over one year, and ten managers have not issued one in over two years.

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Assessing the Hiatus in New Issue Pricing by US CLO Managers

As of December 31, 2023, a notable proportion of the 135 managers, each handling over $0.7 billion in US CLO AUM, have been inactive in pricing new issue deals. Specifically, around 40% of these managers have not priced a primary deal in the last six months. In addition, a quarter of them have not engaged in such pricing for over a year, while approximately 15% have remained inactive in this regard for the past two years.

Freemium

Ranking of EU CLO Managers’ by Prepayment Rates in the 1st and 2nd Year Post-Reinvestment-Period (Freemium)

Several conclusions can be drawn from the chart. In particular, it appears that debt investors did not really price in the different post-reinvestment prepayment rates given the generic pricing assumptions for new issue deals. This raises the question: Should managers with higher post-reinvestment prepayment rates be priced tighter than those with lower rates?

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New Year’s Cheers from Your Anonymous Favourite CLO Equity Investor!

As we leap into yet another promising year, hopefully, I extend my heartiest wishes to my fellow CLO equity and debt investors, as well as our esteemed partners in the fabulous world of CLOs. May this year bring a continuous upswing in CLO equity NAV, empowering us to navigate with more flair and present opportunities to redeem some of our ‘vintage’ deals. In anticipation of a market that’s as dynamic as a New Year’s Eve party, we eagerly hope for a scenario where CLO liability spreads tighten faster than my New Year’s resolutions fade, thus creating a more robust and profitable landscape for us all. Of course, we need the corresponding asset spread tightening to be restrained, so as not to spoil the party.

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Happy Holidays

Wishing you a holiday season that embodies the best of a CLO’s structure: the strength and reliability of the senior tranche, ensuring your festivities are filled with unwavering joy; the adaptability and opportunistic spirit of the mezzanine tranche, bringing excitement and variety to your celebrations; and the high-reward potential of the equity tranche. May your Christmas be as well-rounded, healthy, and prosperous as a well-balanced CLO portfolio!

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